16:10 · Nottingham

Weatherbys Racing Bank Handicap

1m 75yGoing TBCClass 53YO plusTURFHandicap6 runners
Ordered by projected finish
1
Top Pick1
OR 699/2
Theme Park silks

Martin Webb Racing

6yo Gelding · 10-2

Lope De Vega - Queen's Prize (Dansili)

Faye McManoman2/12N Tinkler
690512
6.0Class ↓3
Tongue strap

Seemingly all the better for a tongue strap when capitalising on much-reduced mark at Doncaster last month, quickening to lead final 100 yds. Bumped into a well-treated stable-switcher when second of 5 over C&D (good) 4 days ago and can remain competitive in this busy spell.

Class Advantage

23/10 · C5 · finish vs mark above23/10 · mark par23/107/11 · C5 · finish vs mark below7/11 · mark par27/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above27/06 · mark par17/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below17/07 · mark par23/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above23/07 · mark par30/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above30/07 · mark par30/07projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 6
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength39%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 75y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 44%23/10Pos 9 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 9 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 11%Pos 10 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 10 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 31%27/06Pos 5 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 5 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 33%Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 100%23/07Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 75%30/07
Projected finish1st of 6
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength80%
ExpectedActualTrend
5
Market Fav3
OR 6510/3
Venetian Lion silks

Car Colston Hall Stud

3yo Gelding · 9-5

St Mark's Basilica - Forest Crown (Royal Applause)

Tom Marquand70%0/2W J Haggas60%
7962
4.0
Tongue strap

Left previous efforts behind in a first-time tongue tie when second of 13 on handicap debut at Southwell (1m) last week, caught further back than ideal but covering the final 2f appreciably faster than any of his rivals. Should take all the beating if translating that form back to turf.

Class Advantage

30/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a30/0425/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a25/051/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a1/0627/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above27/07 · mark par27/07projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength34%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 75y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 7 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 25%30/04Pos 9 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 11%25/05Pos 6 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 6 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 38%1/06Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 92%27/07
Projected finish2nd of 6
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
2
2
OR 686/1
Straight A silks

Mrs Elisabeth Cash

5yo Gelding · 10-1

Aclaim - Straight Away (Dubawi)

Mason Paetel60%0/1−5lbM Appleby
422544
5.0Class ↓3

On a lengthy losing run and seems to have stalled again since his back-to-back near misses at Doncaster and Redcar in May. Others more appealing for win purposes.

Class Advantage

30/03 · C5 · finish vs mark above30/03 · mark par30/032/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above2/05 · mark par18/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above18/05 · mark par27/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above27/05 · mark par3/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above3/07 · mark par23/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above23/07 · mark par23/07projClass-projected finish: 4th of 6
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength40%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 75y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 9/5 | Expected: 91%Pos 4 · SP 9/5 | Actual: 40%30/03Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 89%Pos 2 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 2 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 91%18/05Pos 5 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 5 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 60%Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 57%3/07Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 40%23/07
Projected finish3rd of 6
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength75%
ExpectedActualTrend
6
4
OR 5311/1
Pretty Spirited silks

Dr M Voikhansky & Mrs S Voikhanskaya

4yo Filly · 9-0

Swiss Spirit - Pretty Jewel (Aqlaam)

T Eaves60%0/2L A Mullaney60%
411330
5.0

Successful at Leicester and Lingfield last summer. Resumed with a good third of 12 at Doncaster (1m) in April but tailed off over C&D (good to soft) the following month. Not seen since and returns for a new yard.

Class Advantage

5/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above5/07 · mark par5/0723/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above23/07 · mark par26/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above26/08 · mark par6/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above6/09 · mark par25/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above25/04 · mark par19/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above19/05 · mark par19/05projClass-projected finish: 5th of 6
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength23%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 75y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 57%5/07Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 100%26/08Pos 3 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 3 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 80%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 82%25/04Pos 12 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 12 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 0%19/05
Projected finish4th of 6
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength27%
ExpectedActualTrend
3
5
OR 6614/1
Symphony Of Joy silks

Ekster Engineering Ltd & K Frost

4yo Gelding · 9-13

Ulysses - Token Of Love (Cape Cross)

Oliver Stammers60%0/2K Frost
347063
4.0

Belatedly matched debut form when third of 13 in handicap at Wolverhampton (9.5f) just under a fortnight ago, albeit with the aid of a very soft lead. Circumstances unlikely to be so favourable here so looks opposable on balance.

Class Advantage

8/09 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a8/0914/10 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a7/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above7/05 · mark par4/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above4/06 · mark par5/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above5/07 · mark par21/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above21/07 · mark par21/07projClass-projected finish: 1st of 6
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength35%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 75y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 18/5 | Expected: 81%Pos 3 · SP 18/5 | Actual: 60%8/09Pos 4 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 4 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 63%Pos 7 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 7 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 40%7/05Pos 11 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 23%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 44%5/07Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 83%21/07
Projected finish5th of 6
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength51%
ExpectedActualTrend
4
6
OR 6716/1
G'Emmethegreenlite silks

Chalkstone Racing

3yo Gelding · 9-7

Blue Point - Cralegre (Montalegre)

D Swift0/1S Spencer
4470
3.0

Showed ability when hitting the frame in novice company for Adrian Keatley last season but ran poorly with a hood added on first outing for 9 months for new connections at Haydock (6f, good to firm) back in April. Watching brief advised.

Class Advantage

28/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a28/0512/06 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a12/0625/07 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a25/0725/04 · C5 · finish vs mark below25/04 · mark par25/04projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Class readCOMPETITIVE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength37%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 75y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 40%28/05Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 57%12/06Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 45%25/07Pos 11 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 11 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 0%25/04
Projected finish6th of 6
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength16%
ExpectedActualTrend