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15:40 · Nottingham

Weatherbys BetTrends Handicap

1m 2f 50yGoing TBCClass 53YO plusTURFHandicap4 runners
Ordered by projected finish
3
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 672/5
Del Corso silks

Mr J Camilleri

Del Corso

3yo Gelding · 9-6

Dubawi - Via Condotti (Galileo)

K Shoemark60%0/1E Walker60%
633421
8.0Going 8.0

Upped to 1¼m and didn't need to improve to get off the mark in 3-runner event over C&D (good to firm) just over a fortnight ago, having the run of the race. Well bred and could still have more to offer over this trip. Looks the one to beat.

Class Advantage

22/12 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a22/128/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above8/04 · mark par30/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above30/04 · mark par6/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above6/06 · mark par2/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above2/07 · mark par18/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above18/07 · mark par18/07projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 4
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength29%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 2f 50y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 55%22/12Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 82%Pos 3 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 3 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 60%30/04Pos 4 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 4 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 50%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 67%2/07Pos 1 · SP 2/5 | Expected: 98%Pos 1 · SP 2/5 | Actual: 100%18/07
Projected finish1st of 4
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength61%
ExpectedActualTrend
1
2
OR 705/1
Dawn Of Liberation silks

Ruth Carr Racing Club

Dawn Of Liberation

7yo Gelding · 10-3

Churchill - Danetime Out (Danetime)

Warren Fentiman60%1/8−3lbMrs R Carr
670653
5.0Class ↓4

C&D winner last summer who continues to edge back to form, settling better under a more patient ride when third of 7 at Beverley (1¼m, good to firm) 10 weeks ago. Freshened up since and he's one to consider.

Class Advantage

16/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below16/09 · mark par16/092/10 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above2/10 · mark par30/03 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above30/03 · mark par20/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above20/04 · mark par8/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above8/05 · mark par27/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above27/05 · mark par27/05projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 4
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength68%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 2f 50y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 17%16/09Pos 7 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 40%Pos 10 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 18%30/03Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 38%Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 64%8/05Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 67%27/05
Projected finish2nd of 4
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength84%
ExpectedActualTrend
4
3
OR 6214/1
Aussie Pearl silks

Mrs S Russell

Aussie Pearl

3yo Filly · 9-1

Australia - Similu (Danehill Dancer)

S D Bowen60%C Johnston60%
3344
5.0
1st Cheekpieces +2

Looked green but showed ability when third at Leicester on debut last October but still to better that form in 3 attempts, most recently when last of 4 on handicap debut at Hamilton (11f, good to firm) just under 6 weeks ago. First-time cheekpieces go on.

Class Advantage

7/10 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a7/1022/10 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a22/1010/06 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a10/0625/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below25/06 · mark par25/06projClass-projected finish: 4th of 4
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength70%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 2f 50y · 75%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 75%7/10Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 33%22/10Pos 4 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 25%10/06Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 0%25/06
Projected finish3rd of 4
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength16%
ExpectedActualTrend
2
4
OR 6818/1
Sedeirah silks

Abdullah Saeed Al Naboodah

Sedeirah

3yo Filly · 9-7

Palace Pier - Rawdaa (Teofilo)

Callum Rodriguez60%0/1E Bethell
623
6.0

Plenty of promise in her 3 runs so far, most recently when third of 5 in maiden at this course (8.3f, good to firm) just over a fortnight ago. Looks a likely improver now upped to 1¼m for her handicap debut.

Class Advantage

25/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a25/0429/06 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a29/0618/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a18/07projClass-projected finish: 1st of 4
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼2
Strength76%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 2f 50y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 29%25/04Pos 2 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 2 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 75%29/06Pos 3 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 3 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 50%18/07
Projected finish4th of 4
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength52%
ExpectedActualTrend