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16:00 · Ffos Las

Golwg Gwendraeth Handicap

1mGoing TBCClass 53YO onlyTURFHandicap5 runners
Ordered by projected finish
1
Market Fav3
OR 725/1
Mythological Star silks

Capture The Moment Xiv

Mythological Star

3yo Gelding · 9-9

Magna Grecia - Astroglia (Montjeu)

Billy Loughnane70%D & C Kubler
833
5.0

Progressive sort who ran on well when third of 12 in all-weather novice at Lingfield (1m) 29 days ago. This Magna Grecia gelding is capable of better still on his handicap debut.

Class Advantage

20/05 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a20/051/06 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a1/066/07 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a6/07projClass-projected finish: 1st of 5
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength6%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 13%20/05Pos 3 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 67%1/06Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 82%6/07
Projected finish1st of 5
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength98%
ExpectedActualTrend
2
Top Pick1
OR 6711/1
Station Bar silks

Mrs R F Johnson Houghton

Station Bar

3yo Gelding · 9-4

Oasis Dream - Madame Tantzy (Champs Elysees)

Charles Bishop60%1/6Eve Johnson Houghton60%
246815
4.0

Got off the mark in 3-runner handicap at Bath (1m) in May and not disgraced off a 5 lb higher mark with fifth of 6 in handicap at Salisbury (1m, good) 35 days ago. In the mix.

Class Advantage

28/11 · C6 · finish vs mark above28/11 · mark par28/1125/03 · C5 · finish vs mark above25/03 · mark par11/04 · C6 · finish vs mark below11/04 · mark par30/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above30/04 · mark par26/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above26/05 · mark par30/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above30/06 · mark par30/06projClass-projected finish: 5th of 5
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength23%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 88%28/11Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 63%Pos 6 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 6 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 29%11/04Pos 8 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 8 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 36%Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 100%26/05Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 20%30/06
Projected finish2nd of 5
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength15%
ExpectedActualTrend
3
Value2
OR 6616/1
Gelato silks

Mr Adrian Wintle

Gelato

3yo Filly · 9-3

Coulsty - Dutch Desire (Dutch Art)

Finley Marsh70%A Wintle
007961
6.0Class ↓4

Ex-Irish maiden who was much improved on second run for new yard with ready breakthrough win in 7-runner handicap here in June. Up 7 lb but that form has been franked. Big shout.

Class Advantage

4/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a4/0816/08 · C7 · finish vs mark below16/08 · mark par18/09 · C6 · finish vs mark below18/09 · mark par29/09 · C6 · finish vs mark below29/09 · mark par22/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above22/05 · mark par17/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above17/06 · mark par17/06projClass-projected finish: 4th of 5
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲1
Strength27%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 20 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 20 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 5%4/08Pos 12 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 12 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 7 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 7 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 45%18/09Pos 9 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 27%Pos 6 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 6 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 38%22/05Pos 1 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 1 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 100%17/06
Projected finish3rd of 5
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength50%
ExpectedActualTrend
4
5
OR 6350/1
Somethingintheair silks

Dr John Wilson

Somethingintheair

3yo Filly · 9-0

Lope Y Fernandez - Lovable Choice (Sixties Icon)

D EganJ S Moore
055
3.0

50/1 but took another step forward with fifth of 12 in all-weather maiden at Lingfield (1m) in December. Off since, so needs to hit the ground running on handicap debut.

Class Advantage

13/10 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a13/1020/11 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a20/113/12 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a3/12projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 5
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength14%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 12 · SP 300/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 300/1 | Actual: 0%13/10Pos 5 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 69%20/11Pos 5 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 64%3/12
Projected finish4th of 5
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
5
4
OR 625/1
Hurricane Laughter silks

Redgate Bloodstock

Hurricane Laughter

3yo Gelding · 8-13

Oasis Dream - Samasana (Redback)

K Shoemark60%0/4E Walker
56954
4.0

Lightly-raced maiden. Has shown promise both runs in handicaps this summer, fourth of 9 at Epsom (1m) 19 days ago when faring best of those ridden prominently. Likely to improve, especially on this more conventional track. Very much one to consider.

Class Advantage

2/10 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a2/105/11 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a26/11 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a19/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above19/06 · mark par16/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above16/07 · mark par16/07projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 5
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength56%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 80%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 5 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 43%2/10Pos 6 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 38%5/11Pos 9 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 38%26/11Pos 5 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 5 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 56%19/06Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 63%16/07
Projected finish5th of 5
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength63%
ExpectedActualTrend