12
Emsilord
4yo Gelding · 9-13
Auteuil · Prix Guillaume De Pracomtal Handicap Hurdle · 2m 1f 196y
#9
Rank
Odds
17/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength1%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Auteuil | 1 | 0 | ||
| 2026-05-16 | Auteuil | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-13 | Auteuil | 1 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-14 | Auteuil | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-02-23 | Auteuil | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-11-05 | Auteuil | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1571% of fieldRange 1-7 · tight 69/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength79%
Delivery trend +1.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 15.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/05/2025 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 73% | +0.12 |
| 04/10/2025 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 64% | -0.07 |
| 28/10/2025 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 92% | +0.29 |
| 05/11/2025 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 71% | +0.08 |
| 23/02/2026 | 5th | 11/4 | 86% | 73% | -0.12 |
| 14/03/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 69% | +0.22 |
| 13/04/2026 | 3rd | 11/1 | 42% | 86% | +0.44 |
| 16/05/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 86% | +0.04 |