15:40 · Galway

Mongey Communications Handicap Chase

2m 6f 111yYielding to Soft4YO plusTURFHandicap8 runners
Ordered by projected finish
1
Top Pick1
OR 102
13/2
Hees Dynamite silks

John Earls

8yo Gelding · 11-12

Ocovango - Attymon Lill (Marju)

Darragh O'Keeffe60%E McNamara60%
1P2054
6.0

A 5-time winner, including over C&D. On a good mark on the pick of his hurdles form and shaped well in 3m amateur handicap at Listowel last time, caught further back than the other principals under his inexperienced rider and finishing with running left. Good shout under Darragh O'Keeffe.

Class Advantage

26/10 · C10 · finish vs mark above26/10 · mark par26/1018/11 · C10 · finish vs mark above18/11 · mark par17/07 · C11 · finish vs mark below17/07 · mark par29/07 · C11 · finish vs mark below29/07 · mark par22/08 · C11 · finish vs mark below22/08 · mark par26/09 · C10 · finish vs mark below26/09 · mark par26/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength10%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Yielding to SoftDist: 2m 6f 111y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%26/10Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 93%17/07Pos 10 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 10 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 50%Pos 5 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 5 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 69%22/08Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 77%26/09
Projected finish1st of 8
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength84%
ExpectedActualTrend
100%1-564/100
10
3
OR 84
6/1
Ballagh Star silks

Peter Curran

8yo Gelding · 10-8

Ask - Lol Jk (Presenting)

Daniel King60%1/5Mrs Y Dunleavy70%
P0P9P4
5.0
Tongue strap1st Visor +2

Gambled on in new headgear and shaped as if back to form bidding to win 3¼m Sligo handicap chase for a third time last week, inconvenienced by marathon run-in that day due to low sun and much better than the bare result. 2 lb lower here and clearly of interest.

Class Advantage

22/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below22/08 · mark par22/0812/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below12/09 · mark par1/10 · C9 · finish vs mark above1/10 · mark par13/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below13/05 · mark par12/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below12/07 · mark par30/09 · C9 · finish vs mark below30/09 · mark par30/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Yielding to SoftDist: 2m 6f 111y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 83%22/08Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 92%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%1/10Pos 12 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 35%Pos 9 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 9 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 43%12/07Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 73%30/09
Projected finish2nd of 8
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength71%
ExpectedActualTrend
86%1-564/100
3
4
OR 102
20/1
Survivors Sister silks

John J McGrath & T C Quinn

7yo Mare · 11-12

Mount Nelson - Pale Face (High Chaparral)

Danny Gilligan0/1P J Gilligan
1P7398
3.0

Fair handicap hurdler who got off the mark at Limerick (21f, heavy) in February. Has become increasingly unreliable, though, and made an underwhelming chasing debut after 4 months off at Ballinrobe. Switched to a handicap now.

Class Advantage

7/10 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a7/1010/02 · C9 · finish vs mark above10/02 · mark par24/04 · C11 · finish vs mark below24/04 · mark par12/05 · C10 · finish vs mark below12/05 · mark par26/05 · C10 · finish vs mark below26/05 · mark par11/09 · C10 · finish vs mark below11/09 · mark par11/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength2%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Yielding to Soft · 17%Dist: 2m 6f 111y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 75%7/10Pos 1 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 8 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 46%24/04Pos 3 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 82%Pos 9 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 9 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 43%26/05Pos 8 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 13%11/09
Projected finish3rd of 8
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength36%
ExpectedActualTrend
71%3-855/100
6
2
OR 98
16/1
Oneforgonzo silks

Eoin A Barry

8yo Gelding · 11-8

Dylan Thomas - You're A Native (Saddlers' Hall)

Phillip Enright0/4S Aherne70%
415046
3.0
Cheek pieces

Kept mistakes to a minimum when winning 14-runner handicap chase at Killarney in May. Below that level since, soon backing out of things after briefly moving into contention between 3 out and 2 out in C&D event a month ago. Risky.

Class Advantage

19/02 · C9 · finish vs mark below19/02 · mark par19/0211/05 · C9 · finish vs mark above11/05 · mark par21/05 · C10 · finish vs mark below21/05 · mark par29/07 · C11 · finish vs mark below29/07 · mark par8/08 · C10 · finish vs mark below8/08 · mark par7/09 · C10 · finish vs mark below7/09 · mark par7/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength5%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Yielding to SoftDist: 2m 6f 111y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 80%19/02Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 5 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 5 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 64%21/05Pos 11 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 44%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 57%8/08Pos 6 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 6 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 50%7/09
Projected finish4th of 8
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▼
Strength10%
ExpectedActualTrend
57%4-864/100
5
6
OR 100
25/1
Prince Palace silks

Thethreeofus Syndicate

8yo Gelding · 11-10

Turgeon - Aspetta E Spera (Linda's Lad)

Ross Sugrue60%0/2−7lbP J Rothwell60%
P9057P
2.0
Cheek pieces

Has gone the wrong way since his novice days when successful at Navan and turned in a particularly sour display at Kilbeggan last time, going in snatches and always behind. Change of headgear.

Class Advantage

26/10 · C12 · finish vs mark below26/10 · mark par26/1016/11 · C1 · finish vs mark below16/11 · mark par2/03 · C11 · finish vs mark below2/03 · mark par8/06 · C11 · finish vs mark below8/06 · mark par24/07 · C11 · finish vs mark below24/07 · mark par2/08 · C11 · finish vs mark below2/08 · mark par2/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Yielding to Soft · 17%Dist: 2m 6f 111y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 13%26/10Pos 9 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 56%Pos 9 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 9 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 33%2/03Pos 11 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 11 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 29%Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 50%24/07Pos 7 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 65%2/08
Projected finish5th of 8
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength53%
ExpectedActualTrend
43%2-664/100
4
Market Fav7
OR 100
4/1
Juke Hill silks

Elaine Maguire

6yo Gelding · 11-10

Jukebox Jury - Sleepless Eye (Supreme Leader)

Sam Ewing60%0/2G Elliott60%
784745
3.0
Blinkers

Always looked like he'd do well over fences and produced his best effort since his chasing debut at Perth (3m) last time, though still lacked a punch at the business end. Can find a race.

Class Advantage

29/01 · C10 · finish vs mark below29/01 · mark par29/017/06 · C10 · finish vs mark below7/06 · mark par30/06 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a13/08 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a7/09 · C10 · finish vs mark below7/09 · mark par24/09 · C4 · finish vs mark below24/09 · mark par24/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Yielding to SoftDist: 2m 6f 111y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 7 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 33%29/01Pos 8 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 8 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 42%Pos 4 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 77%30/06Pos 7 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 7 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 25%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 70%7/09Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 50%24/09
Projected finish6th of 8
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength58%
ExpectedActualTrend
29%1-832/100
7
5
OR 95
16/1
Heroes Of Renown silks

Miss Rachel O'Neill

12yo Gelding · 11-5

Beneficial - Midnight Gift (Presenting)

Paddy Hanlon60%−5lbJ J Hanlon60%
4P6P23
2.0
Cheek pieces

3m maiden hurdle winner lightly raced under Rules in recent times. Placed twice in points earlier this year (long-standing maiden in that sphere). Subject of an interesting stable switch having joined Shark Hanlon and worth a look in the betting.

Class Advantage

22/04 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a22/045/05 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a27/05 · C12 · finish vs mark below27/05 · mark par15/07 · C12 · finish vs mark below15/07 · mark par22/01 · C11 · finish vs mark below22/01 · mark par10/06 · C11 · finish vs mark below10/06 · mark par10/06projClass-projected finish: 8th of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Yielding to Soft · 33%Dist: 2m 6f 111y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 33%22/04Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 78%Pos 10 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 10 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 18%27/05Pos 10 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 10%Pos 6 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 0%22/01Pos 13 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 13 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 14%10/06
Projected finish7th of 8
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▬
Strength28%
ExpectedActualTrend
14%3-855/100
2
8
OR 102
25/1
Orkneys Jack silks

A W Young

7yo Gelding · 11-12

Youmzain - Orcadian Dawn (Alflora)

Mr J P Sampson0/2−7lbL Young
513557
3.0

Point winner who remains with one standout effort under Rules, that coming on his first go over fences when third of 12 in novice chase at Kilbeggan (2½m) in June. Has been dropped 4 lb but he needs to show more.

Class Advantage

3/04 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a3/041/06 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a15/06 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a10/07 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a4/08 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a16/08 · C11 · finish vs mark below16/08 · mark par16/08projClass-projected finish: 7th of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength7%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Yielding to Soft · 17%Dist: 2m 6f 111y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 300/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 300/1 | Actual: 50%3/04Pos 10 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 40%Pos 3 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 82%15/06Pos 5 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 5 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 20%Pos 5 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 33%4/08Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 33%16/08
Projected finish8th of 8
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength11%
ExpectedActualTrend
0%3-853/100