IvyArcIvyArc
  1. home
  2. leicester
  3. race-7

16:01 · Leicester

Mario & Traci Plough Duxford Last Orders Handicap

6fGood to Firm (Good in places)Class 53YO plusTURFHandicap7 runners
Ordered by projected finish
4
Market Fav3
OR 66
9/4
Magic Music silks

Mr Ray Bailey

Magic Music

4yo Filly · 9-8 · Draw 3

Al Kazeem - Magic Destiny (Dubai Destination)

D Egan60%Steph Hollinshead
316562
6.0Going 8.0

Got off the mark in 7f Doncaster handicap in June and probably unlucky not to add to that in C&D handicap a fortnight ago, just failing having met trouble. Good shout under similar conditions.

Class Advantage

2/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above2/05 · mark par2/056/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above6/06 · mark par26/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below26/06 · mark par7/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above7/08 · mark par4/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above4/09 · mark par21/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above21/09 · mark par21/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength31%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good to Firm (Good in places) · 50%Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 78%2/05Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 6 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 6 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 17%26/06Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 60%Pos 6 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 6 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 44%4/09Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 91%21/09
Projected finish1st of 7
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▬
Strength93%
ExpectedActualTrend
100%1-559/100
7
Value2
OR 58
7/1
Connie's Rose silks

Paul & Ann de Weck

Connie's Rose

7yo Mare · 9-0 · Draw 4

Adaay - Sing So Sweetly (Harbour Watch)

Rossa Ryan70%0/5G Harris70%
443334
6.0Going 8.0Class ↓3
Cheek pieces1st Tongue Strap +2

Has won over C&D but been operating below her best in recent starts, including when dropped into 0-60 company for the first time in over 3 years at Ffos Las a fortnight ago.

Class Advantage

16/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above16/07 · mark par16/0731/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below31/07 · mark par18/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above18/08 · mark par29/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above29/08 · mark par31/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above31/08 · mark par21/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above21/09 · mark par21/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength29%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good to Firm (Good in places) · 50%Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 50%16/07Pos 4 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 4 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 25%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 78%18/08Pos 3 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 3 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 71%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 67%31/08Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 50%21/09
Projected finish2nd of 7
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength48%
ExpectedActualTrend
83%2-659/100
5
5
OR 66
3/1
Red Snapper silks

Rich Clothier & Jennifer Gray

Red Snapper

3yo Gelding · 9-7 · Draw 1

Land Force - Rania (Estidhkaar)

Ben Ffrench-Davis60%1/8−5lbKathy Turner60%
277112
8.0
Blinkers

Has been rejuvenated by the fitting of blinkers, scoring at Salisbury and Chepstow before a fine second back at the former track (no match for easy winner, beat the rest handily). Strong contender off the same mark.

Class Advantage

18/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above18/05 · mark par18/0519/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above19/06 · mark par17/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above17/07 · mark par25/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above25/07 · mark par6/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above6/08 · mark par11/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above11/09 · mark par11/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength45%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good to Firm (Good in places) · 33%Dist: 6f · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 2 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 86%18/05Pos 7 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 7 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 14%Pos 7 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 7 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 45%17/07Pos 1 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 1 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 100%6/08Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 91%11/09
Projected finish3rd of 7
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
67%1-468/100
1
4
OR 70
5/1
Mr Cool silks

Middleham Park Racing IX

Mr Cool

4yo Gelding · 9-12 · Draw 2

Kodiac - Moojha (Forest Wildcat)

Billy Loughnane80%1/3C Johnston
313130
5.0Going 8.0Class ↓3

Has won at Ayr and Redcar over this trip in recent months but was below his best at Southwell 10 days ago. Back in a 0-70 with Billy Loughnane (form figures of 210 on him) up and can get back on track.

Class Advantage

17/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above17/07 · mark par17/0727/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above27/07 · mark par8/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/08 · mark par22/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above22/08 · mark par1/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above1/09 · mark par26/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below26/09 · mark par26/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength38%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good to Firm (Good in places) · 33%Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 60%17/07Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 83%8/08Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 3 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 60%1/09Pos 10 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 10 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 25%26/09
Projected finish4th of 7
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▲
Strength77%
ExpectedActualTrend
50%1-468/100
2
Top Pick1
OR 70
14/1
Fenlander silks

Mr David L Bayliss

Fenlander

5yo Gelding · 9-12 · Draw 6

Territories - Specialty (Oasis Dream)

Warren FentimanOlly Williams
113560
4.0Going 8.0

Took 17 runs to get off the mark but suddenly improved in the summer, completing a hat-trick at Nottingham in June after 2 C&D victories. Too free starting out for new yard (left Pam Sly for 6,000 gns) at Southwell 10 days ago but could fare better returned to Leicester.

Class Advantage

13/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above13/06 · mark par13/0625/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above25/06 · mark par18/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above18/07 · mark par7/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above7/08 · mark par27/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above27/08 · mark par26/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below26/09 · mark par26/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength48%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good to Firm (Good in places) · 50%Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 100%13/06Pos 1 · SP 8/11 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 8/11 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 71%18/07Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 56%Pos 6 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 6 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 50%27/08Pos 11 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 17%26/09
Projected finish5th of 7
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength28%
ExpectedActualTrend
33%3-759/100
3
6
OR 66
11/2
Rebel Path silks

Diomed Racing And Partner

Rebel Path

7yo Gelding · 9-8 · Draw 5

Iffraaj - Royale Du Buisson (Invincible Spirit)

Olivia Haines60%3/15−7lbS C Williams70%
803818
4.0Class ↓3
Visor

Showed a good attitude in a refitted visor when opening account for the year in 13-runner 6f apprentice handicap at Windsor (6f) last month. Unpenalised and not so good back there a week later but still on a fair mark on the pick of his form.

Class Advantage

19/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above19/06 · mark par19/069/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above9/07 · mark par31/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above31/07 · mark par14/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above14/08 · mark par7/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above7/09 · mark par14/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above14/09 · mark par14/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength29%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good to Firm (Good in places) · 50%Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 8 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 53%19/06Pos 10 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 10 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 18%Pos 3 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 3 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 78%31/07Pos 8 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 8 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 36%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%7/09Pos 8 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 8 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 42%14/09
Projected finish6th of 7
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength48%
ExpectedActualTrend
17%2-748/100
6
7
OR 65
12/1
Travel Agent silks

Mr D Morgan

Travel Agent

4yo Gelding · 9-7 · Draw 7

No Nay Never - Flower Fashion (Flower Alley)

Cieren Fallon70%Adam Kirby60%
577550
2.0

Recorded back-to-back victories on all-weather in April. Hasn't had the rub of the green the last twice, including behind Magic Music here last time, and is back below his last winning mark.

Class Advantage

11/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below11/06 · mark par11/062/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above2/07 · mark par17/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below17/07 · mark par17/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above17/08 · mark par31/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above31/08 · mark par21/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above21/09 · mark par21/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▬
Strength35%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good to Firm (Good in places) · 17%Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 0%11/06Pos 7 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 7 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 40%Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 0%17/07Pos 5 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 5 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 56%Pos 5 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 5 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 64%31/08Pos 10 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 18%21/09
Projected finish7th of 7
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▬
Strength31%
ExpectedActualTrend
0%3-759/100