15:26 · Leicester

Paul & Margo Barley Mow Cosgrove Farewell Handicap (GBBPlus Race)

1m 3f 179yGood to Firm (Good in places)Class 33YO plusTURFHandicap5 runners
Ordered by projected finish
5
Top Pick1
OR 79
9/2
Percy's Daydream silks

Mmm Racing

4yo Filly · 9-5 · Draw 2

Sir Percy - President's Seal (Aqlaam)

D Tudhope60%2/3D O'Meara60%
444523
7.0Going 8.0Class ↓2

Successful twice this season, including when making all at Beverley in June. Returned to form more recently, latest when creditable third of 12 in handicap at Redcar (1¼m, good to soft) 13 days ago. Likely player.

Class Advantage

4/07 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above4/07 · mark par4/0717/07 · C3 · finish vs mark above17/07 · mark par26/07 · C3 · finish vs mark above26/07 · mark par13/08 · C3 · finish vs mark above13/08 · mark par9/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above9/09 · mark par23/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above23/09 · mark par23/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 5
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength37%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good to Firm (Good in places) · 50%Dist: 1m 3f 179y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 25%4/07Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 40%Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 25%26/07Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 90%9/09Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 82%23/09
Projected finish1st of 5
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
100%1-370/100
2
Market Fav2
OR 89
6/4
Solarize silks

Sheikh Hamdan Bin Mohammed Al Maktoum

4yo Colt · 10-1 · Draw 6

Masar - Sahraah (Kingmambo)

Callum Shepherd70%C Johnston
311521
7.0

Bagged third win from 7 starts when taking 10-runner handicap at Southwell (1½m) 14 days ago. Just 3 lb higher on turf debut and holds strong claims.

Class Advantage

15/10 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a15/1023/10 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a4/11 · C4 · finish vs mark above4/11 · mark par28/11 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above28/11 · mark par18/02 · C4 · finish vs mark above18/02 · mark par22/09 · C3 · finish vs mark above22/09 · mark par22/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 5
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲1
Strength22%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good to Firm (Good in places)Dist: 1m 3f 179y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 3 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 75%15/10Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%4/11Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 88%18/02Pos 1 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 1 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 100%22/09
Projected finish2nd of 5
▲ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
75%1-368/100
3
4
OR 86
3/1
Parlando silks

Mr Spencer Coomes & Partner

7yo Gelding · 9-12 · Draw 4

Dubawi - Discourse (Street Cry)

Billy Loughnane80%0/2Ian Williams60%
688143
5.0
Cheek pieces

Returned to winning form with success in 1¼m handicap at Chester in July and back on track when good third of 8 in handicap (14/1) at Newbury (1¼m, good to firm) 18 days ago, faring best of those held up. Respected.

Class Advantage

28/04 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark below28/04 · mark par28/0425/05 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above25/05 · mark par13/06 · C3 · finish vs mark above13/06 · mark par25/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above25/07 · mark par13/08 · C3 · finish vs mark above13/08 · mark par18/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above18/09 · mark par18/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 5
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength43%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good to Firm (Good in places) · 33%Dist: 1m 3f 179y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 0%28/04Pos 8 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 22%Pos 8 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 8 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 13%13/06Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 4 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 4 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 57%13/08Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 71%18/09
Projected finish3rd of 5
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
50%1-370/100
4
3
OR 86
4/1
Ruby Wedding silks

Eamonn Duggan

3yo Filly · 9-6 · Draw 5

Sea The Moon - Rosa Grace (Lomitas)

Alfie Redman60%1/1−7lbA M Balding60%
461210
5.0Going 8.0

Off the mark at Hamilton earlier this summer and added to that victory at Salisbury (1½m) in August. Latest run can be excused (too keen) and can't be ruled out here.

Class Advantage

24/04 · C3 · finish vs mark n/a24/049/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above9/05 · mark par25/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above25/06 · mark par25/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above25/07 · mark par13/08 · C3 · finish vs mark above13/08 · mark par11/09 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above11/09 · mark par11/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 5
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good to Firm (Good in places) · 33%Dist: 1m 3f 179y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 67%24/04Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 38%Pos 1 · SP 4/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 4/6 | Actual: 100%25/06Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 92%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%13/08Pos 10 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 10 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 0%11/09
Projected finish4th of 5
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength45%
ExpectedActualTrend
25%1-540/100
1
5
OR 90
12/1
King's Code silks

Eric Griffiths & P D Evans

6yo Gelding · 10-2 · Draw 1

Saxon Warrior - Polygon (Dynaformer)

P J DobbsP D Evans80%
518887
3.0
Blinkers

Won a 1¼m handicap at Chester in July before finishing mid-field in a stronger race at Glorious Goodwood. Seemingly gone off the boil since but is now below his last winning mark.

Class Advantage

27/06 · C3 · finish vs mark below27/06 · mark par27/0610/07 · C3 · finish vs mark above10/07 · mark par28/07 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above28/07 · mark par13/08 · C3 · finish vs mark below13/08 · mark par5/09 · C3 · finish vs mark below5/09 · mark par19/09 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above19/09 · mark par19/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 5
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▬
Strength46%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good to Firm (Good in places) · 50%Dist: 1m 3f 179y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 33%27/06Pos 1 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 1 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 8 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 56%28/07Pos 8 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 8 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 0%Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 30%5/09Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 40%19/09
Projected finish5th of 5
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength71%
ExpectedActualTrend
0%1-457/100