16:30 · Southwell

bettingsites.co.uk Bookmaker Comparison EBF Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

7f 14yStandardClass 42YO onlyALLWEATHER13 runners
Ordered by projected finish
6
Top Pick1
5/1
Thespian Queen silks

Gray Whitworth Racing

2yo Filly · 9-2 · Draw 12

Time Test - Drama School (Lawman)

Callum Hutchinson60%Eve Johnson Houghton60%
26
5.0Class ↓2

Went backwards from a promising debut Kempton (7f) second when sixth of 13 in novice at Goodwood (1m, good to soft) 38 days ago. Worth another chance after a break.

Class Advantage

10/08 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a10/0829/08 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a29/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 3
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▼1
Strength22%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 50%Dist: 7f 14y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 2 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 91%10/08Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 58%29/08
Projected finish1st of 13
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength60%
ExpectedActualTrend
100%6-671/100
2
2
11/4
Jahami silks

Cheveley Park Stud

2yo Filly · 9-2 · Draw 2

Twilight Son - Tobruk (Declaration Of War)

Ray Dawson60%R Varian60%
3
5.0

3/1, third of 10 in maiden at Newcastle (6f) on debut 17 days ago, not knocked about. This Twilight Son filly should have more to offer for leading yard, especially over this longer trip.

Class Advantage

19/09 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a19/09
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▲1
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 100%Dist: 7f 14y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 78%19/09
Projected finish2nd of 13
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength82%
ExpectedActualTrend
92%1-650/100
3
Market Fav3
7/4
Lady's Grace silks

Cheveley Park Stud

2yo Filly · 9-2 · Draw 10

Iffraaj - Ladyship (Oasis Dream)

R Havlin60%J & T Gosden80%
No form3.0

Foaled February 9. Iffraaj filly. Sister to very smart/unreliable winner up to 1m Audience and half-sister to several winners, including winner up to 7f Esquire. Dam 6f-7f winner. Interesting newcomer for top connections.

Class Advantage

No data

Previous Market Position

—
Projected finish3rd of 1383% of field
▬ NO HISTORY
Trend▬
Strength91%
4
4
14/1
Lady Aethelflaed silks

Quantum Leap Racing Xvii & Friends

2yo Filly · 9-2 · Draw 5

Saxon Warrior - Excellency (Sea The Stars)

S M Levey70%D Menuisier80%
No form3.0

Foaled February 19. €30,000 yearling, Saxon Warrior filly. Dam, French 1m winner, half-sister to high-class winner up to 1½m The Fugue out of useful 9f winner (stayed 1¾m) Twyla Tharp. Appeals on paper but the market can guide.

Class Advantage

No data

Previous Market Position

—
Projected finish4th of 1375% of field
▬ NO HISTORY
Trend▬
Strength26%
1
5
33/1
Black Gin silks

Ontoawinner

2yo Filly · 9-2 · Draw 13

Mayson - Concello (Society Rock)

A Mullen70%I Furtado
74
4.0Class ↓2

Mayson filly took a step forward from her debut with fourth of 5 in novice at Ayr (7f, heavy) 17 days ago. May do better still.

Class Advantage

31/08 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a31/0819/09 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a19/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 3
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▼1
Strength22%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: StandardDist: 7f 14y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 14%31/08Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 25%19/09
Projected finish5th of 13
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength36%
ExpectedActualTrend
67%9-971/100
8
6
25/1
Light Of Aurora silks

Mr R G Robinson & Mr R D Robinson

2yo Filly · 8-13 · Draw 11

Tasleet - Beaming (Shamardal)

Darragh Keenan60%Gihan Arnolda
No form3.0

Foaled February 27. Tasleet filly. Half-sister to 1m winner Beaming Light and 1m winner Spec of Light. Others are preferred on this occasion.

Class Advantage

No data

Previous Market Position

—
Projected finish6th of 1358% of field
▬ NO HISTORY
Trend▬
Strength0%
11
11
11/2
Rosiliane silks

Mr Tim Halley

2yo Filly · 8-13 · Draw 7

Minzaal - Fou Rire (Iffraaj)

Shane Gray60%Kevin Coleman
46
2.0

Minzaal filly who finished second in barrier trial at Leopardstown. Similar form in a pair of 7f maidens last month, fourth at Down Royal then sixth of 15 at Naas. Can do better once qualified for handicaps.

Class Advantage

4/09 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a4/0917/09 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a17/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 3
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARK
Move▲4
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: StandardDist: 7f 14y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 77%4/09Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 64%17/09
Projected finish7th of 13
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength49%
ExpectedActualTrend
50%7-771/100
9
7
20/1
Miss Clarice silks

Fillies First

2yo Filly · 8-13 · Draw 8

Lope Y Fernandez - Rebecca De Winter (Kyllachy)

Rob HornbyJ G Portman
No form3.0

Foaled April 22. Lope Y Fernandez filly. Half-sister to useful 2-y-o 5f winner Mrs Danvers. Dam, 2-y-o 5f winner, half-sister to smart winner up to 7f Izzthatright. One to note in the betting.

Class Advantage

No data

Previous Market Position

—
Projected finish8th of 1342% of field
▬ NO HISTORY
Trend▬
Strength0%
13
10
33/1
True Heart silks

Mr Ivan Furtado

2yo Filly · 8-13 · Draw 1

Lope Y Fernandez - Tanouma (Mr Greeley)

Jason Hart60%I Furtado
7
2.0

50/1, seventh of 10 in 6f maiden at Newcastle on debut 17 days ago. Needs to build on it.

Class Advantage

19/09 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a19/09
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▲1
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 100%Dist: 7f 14y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 33%19/09
Projected finish9th of 13
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength17%
ExpectedActualTrend
33%5-1050/100
7
8
50/1
Wishful Thinker silks

Dixon, Wilson, Tucker

2yo Filly · 9-2 · Draw 4

Ardad - Daban (Acclamation)

Jonny Peate0/1Oli Rix
0
2.0
Tongue strap

17/2 and tongue strap on, twelfth of 13 in maiden at Beverley (7.3f, heavy) on debut 38 days ago. Plenty more is needed from this Ardad filly.

Class Advantage

29/08 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a29/08
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: StandardDist: 7f 14y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 12 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 12 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 8%29/08
Projected finish10th of 13
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
25%10-1550/100
5
9
50/1
Port Eleonora silks

Mr R Kent

2yo Filly · 9-2 · Draw 6

Ubettabelieveit - Woo Woo (Heeraat)

George Wood60%J Candlish
No form3.0

Foaled February 10. Ubettabelieveit filly. Dam maiden half-sister to very smart 7f/1m winner Docklands and smart 1¼m-1½m winner Ickymasho. Likely best watched on debut.

Class Advantage

No data

Previous Market Position

—
Projected finish11th of 1317% of field
▬ NO HISTORY
Trend▬
Strength0%
10
12
20/1
Price Tag silks

Faye Bramley Racing

2yo Filly · 8-13 · Draw 3

Tip Two Win - Likelihood (Mizzen Mast)

C Lee70%Faye Bramley60%
No form3.0

Foaled April 25. 10,000 gns foal, Tip Two Win filly. Half-sister to smart French/Australian 9f-1¾m winner Future History and 5f winner Shes Got A Brother. The betting can prove an accurate indicator.

Class Advantage

No data

Previous Market Position

—
Projected finish12th of 138% of field
▬ NO HISTORY
Trend▬
Strength0%
12
13
50/1
Talora silks

Making Headway Racing & Partner

2yo Filly · 8-13 · Draw 9

Minzaal - Seschat (Sinndar)

T EavesI Furtado
No form3.0

Foaled April 29. €22,000 yearling, £5,000 2-y-o, Minzaal filly. Half-sister to several winners, including useful 1¼m-1¾m winner Okool and French 1¼m winner Castle of May.

Class Advantage

No data

Previous Market Position

—
Projected finish13th of 130% of field
▬ NO HISTORY
Trend▬
Strength0%