4

Gabison

4yo Gelding · 10-10

Auteuil · Prix Guillaume De Pracomtal Handicap Hurdle · 2m 1f 196y

#3

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

7%

Place Prob

16%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength5%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.3)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Auteuil 07/10/2025 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 2m1f87y Hvy 1457/10C?C0 @ Compiegne 28/11/2025 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR - · 2m198y Hvy 14728/11C?C0 @ Auteuil 23/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR - · 2m1f196y Hvy 15023/02C?C0 @ Auteuil 14/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 2m1f196y Sft 15014/03C?1 @ Auteuil 13/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 15 · OR - · 2m1f196y Ver 14213/0411 @ Auteuil 12/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 17 · OR - · 2m1f196y Hvy 15112/091projClass-projected finish: 6th of 15
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-12Auteuil17th7th0
2026-05-16Auteuil10
2026-04-13Auteuil11st1st0
2026-03-14Auteuil?1st1st0
2026-02-23Auteuil?2nd2nd0
2025-11-28Compiegne?8th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/1028/1123/0214/0313/0412/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1579% of fieldRange 3-11 · tight 59/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength56%

Delivery trend -6.6% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 15. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/10/20257th25/10%45%+0.45
28/11/20258th22/10%36%+0.36
23/02/20262nd12/137%93%+0.56
14/03/20261st1/195%100%+0.05
13/04/20261st17/255%100%+0.45
12/09/20267th8/158%63%+0.05