16

Le Trezy
4yo Gelding · 9-10
Auteuil · Prix Guillaume De Pracomtal Handicap Hurdle · 2m 1f 196y
#12
Rank
Odds
66/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength7%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | Strasbourg | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-09-09 | Compiegne | 5 | 0 | ||
| 2025-10-30 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-10-12 | Nancy | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-09-14 | Strasbourg | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-07-20 | Vittel | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 1514% of fieldRange 7-10 · tight 76/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength45%
Delivery trend +6.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 13th of 15. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06/2025 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 20/07/2025 | 8th | 22/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 14/09/2025 | 5th | 22/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 30/10/2025 | 2nd | 17/2 | 55% | 90% | +0.35 |
| 20/09/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |