16

Le Trezy

4yo Gelding · 9-10

Auteuil · Prix Guillaume De Pracomtal Handicap Hurdle · 2m 1f 196y

#12

Rank

Odds

66/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#12

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength7%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 5.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Strasbourg 25/06/2025 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 1m2f96y GS 12325/06C5C5 @ Vittel 20/07/2025 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 1m3f204y GS 12320/07C5C0 @ Strasbourg 14/09/2025 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR - · 2m88y Sft 14714/09C?C8 @ Lyon-Parilly 30/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 2m198y Hvy 16130/10C8C0 @ Strasbourg 20/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR - · 2m1f196y GS 14720/09C?projClass-projected finish: 13th of 15
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-20Strasbourg?4th4th0
2026-09-09Compiegne50
2025-10-30Lyon-Parilly?2nd2nd0
2025-10-12Nancy?0
2025-09-14Strasbourg?5th5th0
2025-07-20Vittel?8th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/0620/0714/0930/1020/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 1514% of fieldRange 7-10 · tight 76/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength45%

Delivery trend +6.6% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 13th of 15. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/06/20258th20/10%13%+0.13
20/07/20258th22/10%13%+0.13
14/09/20255th22/10%33%+0.33
30/10/20252nd17/255%90%+0.35
20/09/20264th16/116%50%+0.34