15
Ovalie
4yo Filly · 9-10
Auteuil · Prix Guillaume De Pracomtal Handicap Hurdle · 2m 1f 196y
#2
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
17%
Place Prob
23%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 2.0)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | Clairefontaine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-27 | Clairefontaine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-09 | Dieppe | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-13 | Senonnes-Pouance | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-12 | Angers | 4 | 0 | ||
| 2026-01-20 | Pau | 3 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1586% of fieldRange 3-8 · tight 69/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength68%
Delivery trend +0.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 15.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/01/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 71% | +0.00 |
| 13/03/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 86% | +0.17 |
| 09/07/2026 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 27/07/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 90% | +0.27 |
| 26/08/2026 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 88% | -0.04 |