9
Pascialella
4yo Filly · 10-1
Auteuil · Prix Guillaume De Pracomtal Handicap Hurdle · 2m 1f 196y
#4
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
8%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 1.7 /10 (raw 1.7)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C4.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Auteuil | 1 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-30 | Dieppe | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | La Teste De Buch | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1593% of fieldRange 1-1 · tight 77/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +52.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 15. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07/2026 | 2nd | 6/5 | 94% | 83% | -0.10 |
| 30/08/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 12/09/2026 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 94% | +0.94 |