3
Boystone
4yo Gelding · 10-7
Auteuil · Prix Pierre Et Jean-marie Mercier Chase · 2m 1f 87y
#5
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.3)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-17 | Auteuil | 2 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-09 | Auteuil | 1 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-02-23 | Auteuil | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-01-07 | Pau | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-12-14 | Pau | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-11-12 | Nantes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 50% of fieldRange 2-5 · tight 56/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength35%
Delivery trend -2.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 5. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 90% | +0.14 |
| 12/11/2025 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 75% | -0.12 |
| 14/12/2025 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 71% | -0.02 |
| 07/01/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 67% | -0.20 |
| 23/02/2026 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 09/04/2026 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 29% | -0.53 |
| 17/09/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 55% | +0.07 |