5
Callisto Du Nord
4yo Gelding · 10-7
Auteuil · Prix Pierre Et Jean-marie Mercier Chase · 2m 1f 87y
#2
Rank
Odds
8/11
Win Prob
76%
Place Prob
54%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength6%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 1.7 /10 (raw 2.3)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-21 | Angers | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-22 | Auteuil | 1 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-02-08 | Pau | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-01-18 | Pau | 1 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-12-14 | Pau | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-11-12 | Nantes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 5100% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 57/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength72%
Delivery trend -5.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 5. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07/2025 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 88% | +0.61 |
| 25/08/2025 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 58% | -0.23 |
| 12/11/2025 | 1st | 4/7 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 14/12/2025 | 1st | 10/11 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 18/01/2026 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 08/02/2026 | 1st | 1/3 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 22/03/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 33% | -0.43 |
| 21/09/2026 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |