2
Spanish Boy
3yo Gelding · 10-7
Auteuil · Prix Piomares - Guy Negrel Hurdle · 2m 1f 87y
#6
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-13 | Compiegne | 2 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-21 | Compiegne | 3 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 7-7 · tight 71/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength20%
Delivery trend -15.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/04/2026 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 13/05/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 88% | +0.35 |