3
Dentor Des Obeaux
10yo Gelding · 11-0
Auteuil · Prix Xanthor Chase · 2m 1f 87y
#5
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C3.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Auteuil | 3 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-10-29 | Auteuil | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-10-12 | Auteuil | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-09-13 | Auteuil | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-08-11 | Clairefontaine | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-06-30 | Clairefontaine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 64/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength76%
Delivery trend +1.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10/2024 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 67% | +0.06 |
| 22/04/2025 | 8th | 15/2 | 61% | 56% | -0.04 |
| 18/05/2025 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 30/06/2025 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 70% | -0.01 |
| 11/08/2025 | 10th | 17/2 | 55% | 36% | -0.20 |
| 13/09/2025 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 14% | -0.12 |
| 12/10/2025 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 83% | +0.36 |
| 29/10/2025 | 6th | 11/4 | 86% | 55% | -0.31 |
| 12/09/2026 | 4th | 28/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |