5
Him Malaya
7yo Gelding · 10-12 · OR 105
Auteuil · Prix Xanthor Chase · 2m 1f 87y
#1
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
46%
Place Prob
38%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C2.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Auteuil | 3 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-18 | Dieppe | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Auteuil | 1 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-13 | Compiegne | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-13 | Auteuil | 2 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-09 | Fontainebleau | 3 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 1-2 · tight 83/100
▲ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +5.0% per run
What the projection says
Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/11/2025 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 71% | -0.02 |
| 11/12/2025 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 70% | -0.04 |
| 08/01/2026 | 5th | 10/3 | 82% | 56% | -0.27 |
| 09/03/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 89% | +0.36 |
| 13/04/2026 | 1st | 16/1 | 16% | 100% | +0.84 |
| 13/05/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 30/05/2026 | 9th | 9/1 | 53% | 38% | -0.14 |
| 18/06/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |
| 12/09/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 75% | +0.38 |