4
Lou Fast
7yo Gelding · 10-12
Auteuil · Prix Xanthor Chase · 2m 1f 87y
#6
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 9.3 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C2.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-26 | Auteuil | 1 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-09-08 | Auteuil | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-05-17 | Auteuil | 1 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Auteuil | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-03-28 | Auteuil | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-03-07 | Auteuil | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 2-4 · tight 74/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength60%
Delivery trend +2.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/12/2025 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 80% | +0.27 |
| 29/12/2025 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 87% | +0.39 |
| 01/01/2026 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 83% | -0.07 |
| 07/03/2026 | 9th | 8/1 | 58% | 43% | -0.15 |
| 28/03/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 60% | +0.23 |
| 25/04/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 57% | +0.20 |
| 17/05/2026 | 11th | 20/1 | 0% | 41% | +0.41 |
| 08/09/2026 | 11th | 28/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 26/09/2026 | 11th | 20/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |