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9

Lily Des Champs

4yo Filly · 10-5

Auteuil · Prix La Fregate Hurdle · 2m 1f 196y

#6

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.7 /10 (raw 7.7)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ Lyon-Parilly 18/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR - · 1m3f204y Sft 12018/0424 @ Aix-Les-Bains 26/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR - · 1m4f94y Gd 12826/0644 @ Lyon-Parilly 08/09/2026 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 1278/094projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-08Lyon-Parilly410th10th0
2026-06-26Aix-Les-Bains46th6th0
2026-04-18Lyon-Parilly27th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/0426/068/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 7-9 · tight 68/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -33.8% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/04/20267th66/10%25%+0.25
26/06/20266th9/276%17%-0.60
08/09/202610th9/153%10%-0.43