5
Queen Laurie
4yo Filly · 10-5
Auteuil · Prix La Fregate Hurdle · 2m 1f 196y
#4
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 6.8)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Auteuil | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-03 | Clairefontaine | 3 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-04 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Dieppe | 2 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-04-09 | Moulins | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-08-06 | Clairefontaine | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 1-6 · tight 58/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength79%
Delivery trend +2.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08/2025 | 11th | 50/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 09/04/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 16/05/2026 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 04/06/2026 | 10th | 28/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 03/07/2026 | 3rd | 18/1 | 5% | 87% | +0.81 |
| 12/09/2026 | 7th | 11/1 | 42% | 54% | +0.12 |