1

Silaway

4yo Filly · 10-12

Auteuil · Prix La Fregate Hurdle · 2m 1f 196y

#2

Rank

Odds

8/13

Win Prob

15%

Place Prob

29%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 3.7)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ ParisLongchamp 06/04/2025 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 1m2f96y GS 1286/04C5C5 @ Chantilly 28/04/2025 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 128C5 @ Lyon-Parilly 29/05/2025 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 12429/05C5C5 @ Vichy 30/07/2025 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 1m1f207y GS 124C5 @ Vichy 23/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR - · 1m3f204y Hvy 12223/09C53 @ Saint-Cloud 29/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 1m3f204y Sft 1203 @ Lyon-Parilly 29/04/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 12029/0433 @ Clairefontaine 26/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 2m198y Sft 1432 @ Auteuil 17/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 2m1f87y Hvy 14517/092projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 6
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-17Auteuil24th4th0
2026-08-26Clairefontaine31st1st0
2026-04-29Lyon-Parilly310th10th0
2026-03-29Saint-Cloud36th6th0
2025-09-23Vichy?1st1st0
2025-07-30Vichy?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/0430/0729/0417/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 2-8 · tight 52/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength49%

Delivery trend -12.0% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/04/20253rd28/10%75%+0.75
28/04/20255th33/10%67%+0.67
29/05/20252nd6/168%88%+0.19
30/07/20251st5/493%100%+0.07
23/09/20251st9/276%100%+0.24
29/03/20266th12/137%44%+0.08
29/04/202610th4/179%0%-0.79
26/08/20261st4/179%100%+0.21
17/09/20264th3/184%63%-0.22