1

Silaway
4yo Filly · 10-12
Auteuil · Prix La Fregate Hurdle · 2m 1f 196y
#2
Rank
Odds
8/13
Win Prob
15%
Place Prob
29%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-17 | Auteuil | 2 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-26 | Clairefontaine | 3 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-29 | Lyon-Parilly | 3 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-03-29 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-09-23 | Vichy | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-07-30 | Vichy | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 2-8 · tight 52/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength49%
Delivery trend -12.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/04/2025 | 3rd | 28/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 28/04/2025 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 29/05/2025 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 88% | +0.19 |
| 30/07/2025 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 23/09/2025 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 29/03/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 44% | +0.08 |
| 29/04/2026 | 10th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |
| 26/08/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 17/09/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 63% | -0.22 |