4

Blida
4yo Filly · 10-8
Auteuil · Prix Hipparque Handicap Hurdle · 2m 1f 196y
#4
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Auteuil | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Dieppe | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-18 | Dieppe | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-06-19 | Dieppe | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-05-03 | Auteuil | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-04-16 | Fontainebleau | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 1-2 · tight 82/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +6.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/04/2025 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 38% | +0.22 |
| 03/05/2025 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 56% | +0.40 |
| 19/06/2025 | 5th | 50/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 18/06/2026 | 9th | 28/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 10/07/2026 | 4th | 17/2 | 55% | 57% | +0.02 |
| 12/09/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 88% | +0.88 |