3
Merovee
4yo Gelding · 10-12
Auteuil · Prix Hipparque Handicap Hurdle · 2m 1f 196y
#1
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
100%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength2%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Auteuil | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-07 | Dieppe | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-07-27 | Clairefontaine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Dieppe | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-01 | Dieppe | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-12-29 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 71/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength100%
Delivery trend +1.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/12/2025 | 6th | 11/1 | 42% | 62% | +0.19 |
| 01/06/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 46% | +0.30 |
| 10/07/2026 | 3rd | 17/2 | 55% | 80% | +0.25 |
| 27/07/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 88% | +0.24 |
| 07/08/2026 | 10th | 8/1 | 58% | 31% | -0.27 |
| 12/09/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |