10

Biasca
4yo Filly · 10-5
Auteuil · Prix Sapin Chase · 2m 1f 87y
#8
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Compiegne | 3 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-02 | Auteuil | 2 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-02 | Compiegne | 2 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 1-7 · tight 49/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +7.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/03/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 75% | +0.17 |
| 02/04/2026 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 44% | -0.27 |
| 09/09/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 80% | +0.33 |