3
Chadoc
5yo Filly · 11-0
Auteuil · Prix Sapin Chase · 2m 1f 87y
#1
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
99%
Place Prob
87%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-30 | Auteuil | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-11 | Nantes | 3 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-01-03 | Pau | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-09-05 | Clairefontaine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-08-21 | Chateaubriant | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 4-10 · tight 53/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▼
Strength29%
Delivery trend -8.4% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 2nd of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/08/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 63% | +0.15 |
| 05/09/2025 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |
| 03/01/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 11/05/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 30/05/2026 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 38% | -0.39 |