2
Louba
5yo Filly · 11-0
Auteuil · Prix Sapin Chase · 2m 1f 87y
#3
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 3.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C2.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-22 | Auteuil | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-26 | Auteuil | 2 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-21 | Compiegne | 2 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-02 | Auteuil | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-11 | Compiegne | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-11-23 | Auteuil | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 3-8 · tight 64/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▼
Strength52%
Delivery trend -4.3% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 3rd of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/05/2025 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 73% | +0.20 |
| 26/05/2025 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 93% | +0.11 |
| 13/09/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 93% | +0.14 |
| 07/10/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 11/03/2026 | 2nd | 11/1 | 42% | 93% | +0.51 |
| 02/04/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 91% | +0.25 |
| 21/04/2026 | 3rd | 13/8 | 91% | 78% | -0.14 |
| 26/05/2026 | 3rd | 1/2 | 97% | 60% | -0.37 |
| 22/09/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 80% | +0.04 |