7
Louise Lambern
5yo Filly · 10-10
Auteuil · Prix Sapin Chase · 2m 1f 87y
#6
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09-14 | Auteuil | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2024-08-05 | Clairefontaine | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2024-06-01 | Auteuil | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2024-05-02 | Dieppe | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 4-10 · tight 52/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength31%
Delivery trend -3.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/2024 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 01/06/2024 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 57% | +0.20 |
| 05/08/2024 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 14/09/2024 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 67% | +0.51 |