1
Maniysa Bleue
5yo Filly · 11-7
Auteuil · Prix Sapin Chase · 2m 1f 87y
#5
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength3%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C1.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-24 | Clairefontaine | 1 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Lyon-Parilly | 1 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Auteuil | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-04 | Nancy | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-15 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-01-06 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 3-10 · tight 50/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength22%
Delivery trend -3.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/12/2025 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 15/12/2025 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 01/01/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 06/01/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 45% | +0.09 |
| 15/03/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 88% | +0.22 |
| 04/04/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 02/05/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |
| 06/06/2026 | 3rd | 18/1 | 5% | 78% | +0.73 |
| 24/06/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 0% | -0.63 |