IvyArcIvyArc
8

Nirvanafix

4yo Filly · 10-7

Auteuil · Prix Sapin Chase · 2m 1f 87y

#7

Rank

Odds

28/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 2.7)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Dax 08/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR - · 2m2f195y Gd 1458/073C0 @ Clairefontaine 27/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 2m1f196y Ver 14527/07C?C0 @ Lyon-Parilly 15/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR - · 2m198y Hvy 14315/09C?projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-15Lyon-Parilly?2nd2nd0
2026-07-27Clairefontaine?5th5th0
2026-07-08Dax31st1st0
2025-10-30Lyon-Parilly?0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/0727/0715/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 6-10 · tight 60/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -23.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/07/20261st17/255%100%+0.45
27/07/20265th25/10%60%+0.60
15/09/20262nd9/276%75%-0.01