5
Silver Buckle
5yo Filly · 11-0
Auteuil · Prix Sapin Chase · 2m 1f 87y
#4
Rank
Odds
11/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C2.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-10 | Dieppe | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-28 | Compiegne | 2 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-30 | Dieppe | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-11 | Compiegne | 1 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-10-23 | Auteuil | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-09-23 | Auteuil | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 6-10 · tight 69/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength1%
Delivery trend -10.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10/2024 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 60% | +0.34 |
| 19/04/2025 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 17/05/2025 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 69% | -0.07 |
| 23/09/2025 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 93% | +0.32 |
| 11/03/2026 | 10th | 7/1 | 63% | 25% | -0.38 |
| 30/04/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 28/05/2026 | 6th | 11/4 | 86% | 17% | -0.69 |
| 10/07/2026 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 20% | -0.06 |