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Haveagobeau

7yo Gelding · 9-9 · Draw 10 · OR 54

Brighton · Matchbook Signup - Get 20% Back On Losses Apprentice Handicap (Hands And Heels) · 1m 1f 207y

#5

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Added to a couple of all-weather victories when scoring on turf at Lingfield (1¼m) in July. Shaped as though still in form both starts since and is expected to remain very competitive at this level.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength50%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 5.9)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.8
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Lingfield 31/01/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 51 · 1m2f Std 136 · beat its mark31/01/2026 · OR 51 par31/016OR 516 @ Lingfield 12/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 50 · 1m2f Std 135 · beat its mark12/02/2026 · OR 50 par6 @ Lingfield 25/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 50 · 1m2f Std 135 · beat its mark25/03/2026 · OR 50 par25/036OR 506 @ Windsor 07/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 52 · 1m2f Goo 127 · beat its mark07/05/2026 · OR 52 par6 @ Lingfield 30/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 52 · 1m2f Goo 132 · beat its mark30/05/2026 · OR 52 par30/056OR 525 @ Epsom Downs 01/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 51 · 1m2f17y Goo 119 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark01/07/2026 · OR 51 par6 @ Lingfield 25/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 52 · 1m2f GF 132 · beat its mark25/07/2026 · OR 52 par25/076OR 526 @ Epsom Downs 14/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 54 · 1m2f17y Goo 134 · beat its mark14/08/2026 · OR 54 par6 @ Lingfield 03/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 54 · 1m2f Std 132 · beat its mark03/09/2026 · OR 54 par3/096OR 54projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-03Lingfield63rd3rd0
2026-08-14Epsom Downs64th4th0
2026-07-25Lingfield61st1st0
2026-07-01Epsom Downs52nd1st+1
2026-05-30Lingfield65th5th0
2026-05-07Windsor65th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today31/017/0525/073/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 74/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +5.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
31/01/20266th5/287%29%-0.58
12/02/20262nd10/382%88%+0.05
25/03/20261st15/261%100%+0.39
07/05/20265th10/147%43%-0.05
30/05/20265th9/153%43%-0.10
01/07/20262nd66/10%88%+0.88
25/07/20261st9/276%100%+0.24
14/08/20264th6/168%67%-0.02
03/09/20263rd15/261%67%+0.06