Itsonlyrockandroll
3yo Filly · 9-6 · Draw 7 · OR 55
Brighton · Matchbook Signup - Get 20% Back On Losses Apprentice Handicap (Hands And Heels) · 1m 1f 207y
#7
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 4.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-08 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-21 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-28 | Southwell | 3 | 5th | 1st | +3 |
| 2026-03-09 | Wolverhampton | 4 | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-02-23 | Wolverhampton | 4 | 7th | 5th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -5.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/02/2026 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 25% | -0.33 |
| 09/03/2026 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 50% | +0.45 |
| 28/03/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 20% | -0.41 |
| 21/04/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 60% | -0.22 |
| 08/05/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |