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Jenson Benson

8yo Gelding · 9-9 · Draw 3 · OR 54

Brighton · Matchbook Signup - Get 20% Back On Losses Apprentice Handicap (Hands And Heels) · 1m 1f 207y

#1

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

99%

Place Prob

91%

Rank

#1

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Exceeded market expectations back from 10 months off (fitted with cheekpieces) when second at Hamilton in August and snapped a losing sequence dating back to 2022 over C&D last month. Nudged up just 2 lb and remains well treated on old form.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength29%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.6)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Chelmsford City 07/11/2024 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 58 · 1m2f Std 130 · beat its mark07/11/2024 · OR 58 par7/116OR 586 @ Chelmsford City 12/12/2024 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR 57 · 1m2f Std 152 · beat its mark12/12/2024 · OR 57 par5 @ Chelmsford City 13/02/2025 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 56 · 1m2f Std 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark13/02/2025 · OR 56 par13/025OR 566 @ Chelmsford City 27/02/2025 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR 57 · 1m2f Sta 129 · beat its mark27/02/2025 · OR 57 par6 @ Brighton 08/05/2025 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 56 · 1m3f198y GF 134 · beat its mark08/05/2025 · OR 56 par8/056OR 566 @ Chepstow 13/05/2025 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 56 · 1m4f Goo 127 · beat its mark13/05/2025 · OR 56 par6 @ Lingfield 14/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 16 · OR 54 · 1m4f Std 134 · beat its mark14/10/2025 · OR 54 par14/106OR 546 @ Hamilton 01/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 50 · 1m1f35y Gd 133 · beat its mark01/08/2026 · OR 50 par6 @ Brighton 01/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 52 · 1m1f207y Goo 132 · beat its mark01/09/2026 · OR 52 par1/096OR 52projClass-projected finish: 1st of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-01Brighton61st1st0
2026-08-01Hamilton62nd2nd0
2025-10-14Lingfield65th5th0
2025-05-13Chepstow66th6th0
2025-05-08Brighton64th4th0
2025-02-27Chelmsford City68th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/1127/0214/101/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-2 · tight 85/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +10.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/11/20246th13/266%38%-0.28
12/12/20246th3/184%58%-0.26
13/02/20252nd10/147%83%+0.36
27/02/20258th17/255%30%-0.25
08/05/20254th11/142%50%+0.08
13/05/20256th15/261%17%-0.44
14/10/20255th20/10%73%+0.73
01/08/20262nd33/10%86%+0.86
01/09/20261st9/276%100%+0.24