4

Mimi's Magic

3yo Filly · 9-6 · Draw 1 · OR 55

Brighton · Matchbook Signup - Get 20% Back On Losses Apprentice Handicap (Hands And Heels) · 1m 1f 207y

#8

Rank

Odds

11/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Runner-up on 9.5f Wolverhampton handicap debut in May. Into her shell after for Ed Dunlop and now goes up in distance for new yard from falling mark.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▼1
Strength55%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 5.6)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.2
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Chelmsford City 30/08/2025 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR - · 1m Std 124 · HIGHER CLASS30/0855 @ Wolverhampton 22/09/2025 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR - · 1m142y Std 128 · HIGHER CLASS5 @ Newcastle 20/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR 70 · 1m5y Std 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark20/04/2026 · OR 70 par20/045OR 705 @ Wolverhampton 05/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 4 · OR 68 · 1m1f104y Std 133 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark05/05/2026 · OR 68 par5 @ Nottingham 03/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 68 · 1m75y Goo 133 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark03/06/2026 · OR 68 par3/065OR 685 @ Newmarket 19/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 67 · 1m Goo 132 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark19/06/2026 · OR 67 par5 @ Windsor 27/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 65 · 1m31y GF 129 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark27/07/2026 · OR 65 par27/075OR 655 @ Wolverhampton 18/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 62 · 1m142y Std 132 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark18/08/2026 · OR 62 par6 @ Hamilton 02/09/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 59 · 1m68y Sft 132 · below its mark02/09/2026 · OR 59 par2/096OR 59projClass-projected finish: 9th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-02Hamilton69th9th0
2026-08-18Wolverhampton59th8th+1
2026-07-27Windsor58th7th+1
2026-06-19Newmarket56th5th+1
2026-06-03Nottingham55th4th+1
2026-05-05Wolverhampton52nd1st+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/085/0527/072/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 5-9 · tight 67/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength6%

Delivery trend -5.2% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/08/20252nd12/137%75%+0.38
22/09/20256th9/276%55%-0.22
20/04/20263rd17/255%82%+0.27
05/05/20262nd12/137%67%+0.30
03/06/20265th11/142%56%+0.13
19/06/20266th18/15%44%+0.39
27/07/20268th15/261%0%-0.61
18/08/20269th28/10%0%0.00
02/09/20269th14/126%11%-0.15