8
Monks Mead
5yo Gelding · 9-0 · Draw 4 · OR 45
Brighton · Matchbook Signup - Get 20% Back On Losses Apprentice Handicap (Hands And Heels) · 1m 1f 207y
#6
Rank
Odds
13/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength26%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-24 | Brighton | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-15 | Lingfield | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-04 | Lingfield | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-13 | Lingfield | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-01 | Bath | 6 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-06-18 | Lingfield | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 4-9 · tight 60/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength35%
Delivery trend -3.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/02/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 71% | -0.10 |
| 25/03/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 89% | +0.36 |
| 23/05/2026 | 8th | 17/2 | 55% | 50% | -0.05 |
| 18/06/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 78% | -0.05 |
| 01/07/2026 | 10th | 5/1 | 74% | 18% | -0.56 |
| 13/07/2026 | 4th | 17/2 | 55% | 67% | +0.11 |
| 04/08/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 60% | -0.11 |
| 15/08/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 57% | -0.09 |
| 24/08/2026 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 38% | -0.23 |