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9

Twilight Guest

6yo Gelding · 9-0 · Draw 2 · OR 45

Brighton · Matchbook Signup - Get 20% Back On Losses Apprentice Handicap (Hands And Heels) · 1m 1f 207y

#2

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

6%

Rank

#2

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Recorded a hat-trick last season (including 2 C&D wins). Has struggled for form this year but did at least finish off his race with more purpose when 1¾ lengths fourth of 10 to Jenson Benson over C&D a month ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength26%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 5.1)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Chelmsford City 11/01/2026 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 56 · 1m2f Std 130 · below its mark11/01/2026 · OR 56 par11/016OR 566 @ Yarmouth 30/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 54 · 1m1f21y GF 129 · below its mark30/04/2026 · OR 54 par6 @ Windsor 23/05/2026 · Pos 13th of 15 · OR 52 · 1m2f GF 132 · beat its mark23/05/2026 · OR 52 par23/056OR 526 @ Lingfield 30/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 50 · 1m2f Goo 130 · beat its mark30/05/2026 · OR 50 par6 @ Brighton 09/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR 48 · 1m1f207y Gd 128 · beat its mark09/06/2026 · OR 48 par9/066OR 486 @ Brighton 30/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 47 · 1m1f207y GF 122 · beat its mark30/06/2026 · OR 47 par6 @ Yarmouth 23/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 46 · 1m3f104y GF 124 · beat its mark23/07/2026 · OR 46 par23/076OR 466 @ Yarmouth 28/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 46 · 1m3f104y GF 135 · beat its mark28/07/2026 · OR 46 par6 @ Brighton 01/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 45 · 1m1f207y Goo 126 · beat its mark01/09/2026 · OR 45 par1/096OR 45projClass-projected finish: 7th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-01Brighton64th4th0
2026-07-28Yarmouth66th6th0
2026-07-23Yarmouth64th4th0
2026-06-30Brighton64th4th0
2026-06-09Brighton66th6th0
2026-05-30Lingfield67th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/0130/0523/071/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 74/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +7.5% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/01/20265th7/163%0%-0.63
30/04/20265th18/15%0%-0.05
23/05/202613th33/10%14%+0.14
30/05/20267th11/142%14%-0.28
09/06/20266th22/10%58%+0.58
30/06/20264th50/10%57%+0.57
23/07/20264th25/10%25%+0.25
28/07/20266th20/10%0%0.00
01/09/20264th10/147%67%+0.19