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Lord Percy

2yo Colt · 9-7 · Draw 5

Brighton · Matchbook Betting Exchange Supporting UK Racing EBF 'Confined' Restricted Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) · 7f 216y

#6

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Foaled March 5. £10,000 yearling, Ten Sovereigns colt. Half-brother to 11.4f/1½m winner Bondi. Dam, Swedish 1½m winner, half-sister to useful winner abroad up to 1¾m Inaya. Shaped better than end result suggests when sixth on Leicester debut 2 weeks ago (7f). Should last longer this time.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▼1
Strength22%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 4
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Leicester 21/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 7f Goo 133 · HIGHER CLASS21/093
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-21Leicester36th5th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 4-9 · tight 50/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/09/20266th33/10%44%+0.44