5

True Impact

2yo Gelding · 9-7 · Draw 2

Brighton · Matchbook Betting Exchange Supporting UK Racing EBF 'Confined' Restricted Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) · 7f 216y

#7

Rank

Odds

200/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

★ Timeform

Commentary

50/1, eighth of 9 in novice at Kempton (1m) on debut 13 days ago, slowly away. Cheekpieces quickly applied.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 8.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Kempton 23/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 1m Sta 12423/094
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-23Kempton48th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 6-11 · tight 50/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength6%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/09/20268th50/10%13%+0.13