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9

Rainbow Sign

8yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 8 · OR 47

Brighton · Follow Matchbook On X Handicap · 7f 216y

#2

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

75%

Place Prob

58%

Rank

#2

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Scored here this time last year and has made the frame on several occasions more recently, shaping as though still in good form over C&D a month ago. Can be a factor.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength33%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 5.2)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Lingfield 08/12/2025 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR 50 · 1m1y Std 130 · beat its mark08/12/2025 · OR 50 par8/126OR 506 @ Lingfield 12/01/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR 49 · 1m1y Std 135 · beat its mark12/01/2026 · OR 49 par6 @ Lingfield 10/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 48 · 1m1y Std 135 · beat its mark10/02/2026 · OR 48 par10/026OR 486 @ Kempton 04/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR 47 · 7f Sta 135 · beat its mark04/03/2026 · OR 47 par6 @ Bath 05/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR 46 · 1m Goo 126 · beat its mark05/04/2026 · OR 46 par5/046OR 466 @ Brighton 09/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 46 · 6f210y Gd 135 · beat its mark09/06/2026 · OR 46 par6 @ Lingfield 13/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 48 · 1m1y Std 135 · beat its mark13/07/2026 · OR 48 par13/076OR 486 @ Brighton 05/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 47 · 7f216y Goo 135 · beat its mark05/08/2026 · OR 47 par6 @ Brighton 01/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 47 · 7f216y Goo 129 · beat its mark01/09/2026 · OR 47 par1/096OR 47projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-01Brighton64th4th0
2026-08-05Brighton63rd3rd0
2026-07-13Lingfield67th7th0
2026-06-09Brighton62nd2nd0
2026-04-05Bath64th4th0
2026-03-04Kempton65th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/124/0313/071/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 70/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength89%

Delivery trend +2.6% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/12/202510th14/126%10%-0.16
12/01/20266th25/10%50%+0.50
10/02/20263rd13/266%67%+0.01
04/03/20265th12/137%60%+0.23
05/04/20264th16/116%77%+0.61
09/06/20262nd5/174%86%+0.12
13/07/20267th25/10%25%+0.25
05/08/20263rd11/142%75%+0.33
01/09/20264th12/137%63%+0.26