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5

Charles Morin

5yo Gelding · 9-6 · Draw 10 · OR 52

Brighton · Bet 20 Pound Get 40 Pound In Free Bets At matchbook.com Handicap · 1m 3f 198y

#7

Rank

Odds

18/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Benefited from a good ride when ending his losing run in a classified event at Lingfield (1½m) but never really looked like following up back in handicap company on final start for Pat Phelan.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength41%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 5.3)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C5.8
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Lingfield 25/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 51 · 1m4f Std 152 · beat its mark25/02/2026 · OR 51 par25/026OR 515 @ Plumpton 16/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 81 · 1m7f195y Goo 151 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark16/03/2026 · OR 81 par6 @ Lingfield 27/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR 54 · 1m7f169y Std 131 · beat its mark27/03/2026 · OR 54 par27/036OR 546 @ Lingfield 27/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 53 · 1m7f169y Std 131 · beat its mark27/04/2026 · OR 53 par6 @ Lingfield 18/05/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR 52 · 2m68y Goo 127 · below its mark18/05/2026 · OR 52 par18/056OR 525 @ Fontwell 10/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 79 · 2m3f29y Goo 152 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark10/06/2026 · OR 79 par6 @ Lingfield 13/07/2026 · Pos 11th of 13 · OR 50 · 1m4f1y Std 135 · beat its mark13/07/2026 · OR 50 par13/076OR 506 @ Lingfield 18/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 50 · 1m4f Std 135 · beat its mark18/08/2026 · OR 50 par6 @ Lingfield 03/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 52 · 1m7f169y Std 133 · beat its mark03/09/2026 · OR 52 par3/096OR 52projClass-projected finish: 8th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-03Lingfield64th4th0
2026-08-18Lingfield61st1st0
2026-07-13Lingfield611th11th0
2026-06-10Fontwell56th5th+1
2026-05-18Lingfield610th10th0
2026-04-27Lingfield63rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/0227/0413/073/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 5-9 · tight 67/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -3.3% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 8th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/02/20262nd17/255%90%+0.35
16/03/20264th8/158%57%-0.01
27/03/20265th6/168%60%-0.08
27/04/20263rd15/261%71%+0.11
18/05/202610th11/271%0%-0.71
10/06/20266th22/10%44%+0.44
13/07/202611th7/282%17%-0.65
18/08/20261st9/276%100%+0.24
03/09/20264th9/153%40%-0.13