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8

Clipsham Noble

4yo Gelding · 9-4 · Draw 6 · OR 50

Brighton · Bet 20 Pound Get 40 Pound In Free Bets At matchbook.com Handicap · 1m 3f 198y

#6

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#6

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Twice a winner at Leicester this season for his new yard, latest in 6-runner handicap in July. Has held his form well since and was also involved in the busy finish over C&D won by Bug Boy.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength40%

What the class read says

Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 5.1)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Bath 29/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 45 · 1m Fm 126 · beat its mark29/04/2026 · OR 45 par29/046OR 456 @ Leicester 09/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR 45 · 1m2f Goo 126 · beat its mark09/05/2026 · OR 45 par6 @ Leicester 25/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 46 · 1m3f179y Goo 126 · beat its mark25/05/2026 · OR 46 par25/056OR 466 @ Leicester 25/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 50 · 1m3f179y GF 132 · beat its mark25/06/2026 · OR 50 par6 @ Pontefract 07/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR 50 · 1m4f5y Goo 132 · beat its mark07/07/2026 · OR 50 par7/076OR 506 @ Leicester 22/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 49 · 1m2f Goo 129 · beat its mark22/07/2026 · OR 49 par6 @ Leicester 09/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 51 · 1m2f GF 131 · beat its mark09/08/2026 · OR 51 par9/086OR 516 @ Brighton 01/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 51 · 1m3f198y Goo 131 · beat its mark01/09/2026 · OR 51 par6 @ Wolverhampton 15/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 50 · 1m5f219y Std 130 · beat its mark15/09/2026 · OR 50 par15/096OR 50projClass-projected finish: 4th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-15Wolverhampton63rd3rd0
2026-09-01Brighton63rd3rd0
2026-08-09Leicester64th4th0
2026-07-22Leicester61st1st0
2026-07-07Pontefract66th6th0
2026-06-25Leicester64th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/0425/069/0815/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 67/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▬
Strength82%

Delivery trend +1.3% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 9.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/04/20265th11/271%43%-0.28
09/05/20264th15/261%70%+0.09
25/05/20261st13/266%100%+0.34
25/06/20264th5/174%57%-0.17
07/07/20266th9/276%50%-0.26
22/07/20261st13/266%100%+0.34
09/08/20264th4/179%40%-0.39
01/09/20263rd6/168%71%+0.03
15/09/20263rd17/255%75%+0.20