7
Foinix
6yo Gelding · 9-5 · Draw 2 · OR 51
Brighton · Bet 20 Pound Get 40 Pound In Free Bets At matchbook.com Handicap · 1m 3f 198y
#3
Rank
Odds
11/1
Win Prob
12%
Place Prob
18%
Rank
#3
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength32%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Brighton | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-18 | Lingfield | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-11 | Lingfield | 6 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-06 | Brighton | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-22 | Brighton | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-09 | Brighton | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 3-9 · tight 52/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▼
Strength36%
Delivery trend -4.0% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/01/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 22% | -0.04 |
| 16/03/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 25/03/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 09/06/2026 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 22/06/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 67% | -0.15 |
| 06/08/2026 | 2nd | 11/10 | 94% | 75% | -0.19 |
| 11/08/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 18/08/2026 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 33% | -0.40 |
| 01/09/2026 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 57% | +0.15 |