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6

Highland Harvey

4yo Gelding · 9-6 · Draw 5 · OR 52

Brighton · Bet 20 Pound Get 40 Pound In Free Bets At matchbook.com Handicap · 1m 3f 198y

#5

Rank

Odds

11/4

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

4%

Rank

#5

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Finally got off the mark in 11.5f classified event at Yarmouth in July. Good placed efforts all 6 starts since, including when runner-up to Bug Boy over C&D a month ago and can win a race like this.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength48%

What the class read says

Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 6.9)

Highest class: BHA50
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Bath 13/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR 47 · 1m3f137y Gd 128 · beat its mark13/06/2026 · OR 47 par13/066OR 476 @ Brighton 22/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 46 · 1m3f198y Goo 135 · beat its mark22/06/2026 · OR 46 par6 @ Yarmouth 15/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 46 · 1m3f104y GF 135 · beat its mark15/07/2026 · OR 46 par15/076OR 466 @ Yarmouth 05/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 52 · 1m6f17y GF 132 · beat its mark05/08/2026 · OR 52 par6 @ Windsor 17/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 52 · 1m3f99y GF 130 · beat its mark17/08/2026 · OR 52 par17/086OR 526 @ Brighton 23/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 52 · 1m3f198y Goo 150 · beat its mark23/08/2026 · OR 52 par6 @ Brighton 01/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 52 · 1m3f198y Goo 132 · beat its mark01/09/2026 · OR 52 par1/096OR 526 @ Lingfield 10/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 52 · 1m4f Std 134 · beat its mark10/09/2026 · OR 52 par6 @ Wolverhampton 21/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 52 · 1m4f51y Std 132 · beat its mark21/09/2026 · OR 52 par21/096OR 52projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-21Wolverhampton64th4th0
2026-09-10Lingfield63rd3rd0
2026-09-01Brighton62nd2nd0
2026-08-23Brighton63rd3rd0
2026-08-17Windsor63rd3rd0
2026-08-05Yarmouth63rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/065/081/0921/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 3-6 · tight 74/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength60%

Delivery trend -3.4% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/06/20265th11/142%67%+0.25
22/06/20262nd6/492%83%-0.09
15/07/20261st6/594%100%+0.06
05/08/20263rd6/492%67%-0.25
17/08/20263rd9/488%75%-0.13
23/08/20263rd2/189%60%-0.29
01/09/20262nd7/491%86%-0.05
10/09/20263rd7/282%75%-0.07
21/09/20264th3/184%63%-0.22