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3

Lunar Power

8yo Gelding · 9-8 · Draw 9 · OR 54

Brighton · Bet 20 Pound Get 40 Pound In Free Bets At matchbook.com Handicap · 1m 3f 198y

#8

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Went close twice in small-field handicaps last summer for Donald McCain. Quiet start for new yard in 2026, though.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength60%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 6 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 5.4)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C5.5
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Southwell 03/10/2025 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 68 · 2m102y Std 135 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark03/10/2025 · OR 68 par3/105OR 684 @ Kempton 19/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 112 · 2m5f Goo 170 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark19/10/2025 · OR 112 par4 @ Hereford 11/11/2025 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 112 · 2m5f163y Goo 170 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark11/11/2025 · OR 112 par11/114OR 1124 @ Kempton 24/11/2025 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 110 · 3m121y Goo 159 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark24/11/2025 · OR 110 par5 @ Lingfield 08/12/2025 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 67 · 1m7f169y Std 140 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark08/12/2025 · OR 67 par8/125OR 676 @ Kempton 11/02/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 65 · 1m7f218y Sta 142 · below its mark11/02/2026 · OR 65 par6 @ Lingfield 30/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 62 · 1m4f Std 134 · below its mark30/04/2026 · OR 62 par30/046OR 626 @ Lingfield 18/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 60 · 2m68y Goo 135 · beat its mark18/05/2026 · OR 60 par6 @ Lingfield 06/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 57 · 1m4f Std 139 · beat its mark06/07/2026 · OR 57 par6/076OR 57projClass-projected finish: 9th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-06Lingfield67th7th0
2026-05-18Lingfield67th7th0
2026-04-30Lingfield66th6th0
2026-02-11Kempton65th5th0
2025-12-08Lingfield55th4th+1
2025-11-24Kempton46th4th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/1024/1130/046/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 4-9 · tight 60/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength16%

Delivery trend +5.6% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/10/20256th5/174%17%-0.57
19/10/20252nd9/153%80%+0.27
11/11/20254th10/382%50%-0.32
24/11/20256th7/163%38%-0.26
08/12/20255th17/255%0%-0.55
11/02/20265th14/126%33%+0.07
30/04/20266th50/10%29%+0.29
18/05/20267th17/255%33%-0.22
06/07/20267th33/10%25%+0.25