4
Stintino Sunset
6yo Mare · 9-7 · Draw 7 · OR 53
Brighton · Bet 20 Pound Get 40 Pound In Free Bets At matchbook.com Handicap · 1m 3f 198y
#4
Rank
Odds
10/3
Win Prob
4%
Place Prob
11%
Rank
#4
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength36%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Bath | 6 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-23 | Brighton | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Yarmouth | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-01 | Epsom Downs | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-01 | Windsor | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-07 | Windsor | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 74/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▬
Strength77%
Delivery trend -1.0% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 3rd of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/01/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 80% | +0.06 |
| 20/01/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 71% | +0.11 |
| 09/02/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 71% | +0.00 |
| 07/05/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 70% | -0.04 |
| 01/06/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 78% | +0.12 |
| 01/07/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 89% | +0.20 |
| 28/07/2026 | 3rd | 11/8 | 93% | 60% | -0.33 |
| 23/08/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 80% | +0.04 |
| 12/09/2026 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |