3
Burford Beauty
4yo Filly · 9-5 · Draw 4 · OR 56
Brighton · Matchbook Monthly Bet-Builder Rebate Handicap · 6f 210y
#9
Rank
Odds
13/8
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▬
Strength18%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.7 /10 (raw 7.0)
Highest class: BHA59
Recent avg: C6.2
Today: 6
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | Gowran Park | BHA59 | 8th | 8th | +0 |
| 2026-07-09 | Leopardstown | BHA60 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-05-29 | Down Royal | BHA60 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Limerick | BHA62 | 9th | 9th | −0 |
| 2025-11-12 | Dundalk | BHA65 | 10th | 11th | −1 |
| 2025-10-29 | Dundalk | BHA66 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 1-6 · tight 64/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▼
Strength82%
Delivery trend -3.0% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 5th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08/2025 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 69% | +0.09 |
| 10/09/2025 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 57% | +0.05 |
| 29/09/2025 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 67% | +0.04 |
| 29/10/2025 | 5th | 22/1 | 0% | 69% | +0.69 |
| 12/11/2025 | 10th | 14/1 | 26% | 31% | +0.04 |
| 25/04/2026 | 9th | 8/1 | 58% | 38% | -0.19 |
| 29/05/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 85% | +0.27 |
| 09/07/2026 | 10th | 10/1 | 47% | 57% | +0.10 |
| 25/07/2026 | 8th | 11/2 | 71% | 42% | -0.29 |