9

Edergole's Gift
5yo Mare · 8-9 · Draw 2 · OR 45
Brighton · Matchbook Monthly Bet-Builder Rebate Handicap · 6f 210y
#8
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength26%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Lingfield | 6 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-18 | Lingfield | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-08 | Lingfield | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-22 | Lingfield | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-25 | Leicester | 6 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-04-28 | Yarmouth | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 9-10 · tight 86/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -5.0% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/02/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 28/02/2026 | 3rd | 28/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 14/04/2026 | 11th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 28/04/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 29% | +0.02 |
| 25/05/2026 | 9th | 28/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 22/07/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 64% | +0.03 |
| 08/08/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 67% | +0.14 |
| 18/08/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 73% | -0.11 |
| 10/09/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 30% | +0.14 |