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7

King David

5yo Gelding · 9-3 · Draw 8 · OR 54

Brighton · Matchbook Monthly Bet-Builder Rebate Handicap · 6f 210y

#6

Rank

Odds

9/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Sole win came in 2024 but 2 runner-up efforts over 1m at this track in recent weeks confirm he's very competitive at this level. Last week's C&D fifth was just a respectable run, though.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength26%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 4.7)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Lingfield 28/02/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 64 · 7f1y Std 134 · below its mark28/02/2026 · OR 64 par28/026OR 646 @ Chelmsford City 26/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR 63 · 7f Std 133 · beat its mark26/03/2026 · OR 63 par6 @ Nottingham 26/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 62 · 6f18y Goo 131 · below its mark26/04/2026 · OR 62 par26/046OR 626 @ Bath 13/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 60 · 1m Gd 135 · below its mark13/06/2026 · OR 60 par6 @ Wolverhampton 28/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR 58 · 6f20y Std 138 · beat its mark28/06/2026 · OR 58 par28/066OR 586 @ Lingfield 11/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 55 · 7f1y Std 135 · beat its mark11/08/2026 · OR 55 par6 @ Brighton 24/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 53 · 7f216y Goo 133 · beat its mark24/08/2026 · OR 53 par24/086OR 536 @ Brighton 01/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 53 · 7f216y Goo 135 · beat its mark01/09/2026 · OR 53 par6 @ Brighton 28/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 54 · 6f210y Goo 129 · beat its mark28/09/2026 · OR 54 par28/096OR 54projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-28Brighton65th5th0
2026-09-01Brighton62nd2nd0
2026-08-24Brighton62nd2nd0
2026-08-11Lingfield65th5th0
2026-06-28Wolverhampton69th9th0
2026-06-13Bath68th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/0213/0624/0828/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 1-8 · tight 50/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength67%

Delivery trend +5.8% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/02/20266th9/276%17%-0.60
26/03/20264th11/271%70%-0.01
26/04/20267th14/126%0%-0.26
13/06/20268th25/10%13%+0.13
28/06/20269th9/276%27%-0.49
11/08/20265th13/266%56%-0.10
24/08/20262nd16/116%88%+0.72
01/09/20262nd2/189%88%-0.02
28/09/20265th11/271%56%-0.15