
Oxford Circus
4yo Gelding · 8-9 · Draw 6 · OR 45
Brighton · Matchbook Monthly Bet-Builder Rebate Handicap · 6f 210y
#10
Rank
Odds
9/4
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 9.8 /10 (raw 8.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 | Lingfield | 6 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Limerick | BHA47 | 14th | 12th | +1 |
| 2026-05-28 | Fairyhouse | BHA52 | 12th | 11th | +1 |
| 2026-05-19 | Cork | BHA53 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-05-04 | Curragh | BHA55 | 14th | 13th | +1 |
| 2026-04-24 | Cork | BHA56 | 8th | 8th | +0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -4.9% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 8th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/02/2026 | 1st | 11/1 | 42% | 100% | +0.58 |
| 20/03/2026 | 10th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 10/04/2026 | 5th | 5/2 | 87% | 50% | -0.37 |
| 24/04/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 59% | +0.32 |
| 04/05/2026 | 14th | 18/1 | 5% | 7% | +0.02 |
| 19/05/2026 | 6th | 11/1 | 42% | 38% | -0.05 |
| 28/05/2026 | 12th | 33/1 | 0% | 35% | +0.35 |
| 10/06/2026 | 14th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 13/08/2026 | 9th | 7/2 | 82% | 27% | -0.54 |