10

Oxford Circus

4yo Gelding · 8-9 · Draw 6 · OR 45

Brighton · Matchbook Monthly Bet-Builder Rebate Handicap · 6f 210y

#10

Rank

Odds

9/4

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Won at Dundalk in February before losing way in headgear on turf after. Never looked like justifying support starting out for James Owen at Lingfield but reportedly resented the kickback and is well worth another chance.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▬
Strength41%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 9.8 /10 (raw 8.1)

Highest class: BHA47
Recent avg: C5.4
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.6
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Dundalk 27/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 6f Std 14727/02C8BHA69 @ Dundalk 20/03/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR 69 · 6f Std 125 · below its mark20/03/2026 · OR 69 parBHA58 @ Dundalk 10/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 58 · 6f Std 142 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark10/04/2026 · OR 58 par10/0458OR 58BHA56 @ Cork 24/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 18 · OR 56 · 1m Goo 138 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark24/04/2026 · OR 56 parBHA55 @ Curragh 04/05/2026 · Pos 14th of 15 · OR 55 · 7f Gd 125 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark04/05/2026 · OR 55 par4/0555OR 55BHA53 @ Cork 19/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 53 · 5f Sft 135 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark19/05/2026 · OR 53 parBHA52 @ Fairyhouse 28/05/2026 · Pos 12th of 18 · OR 52 · 6f25y Gd 134 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark28/05/2026 · OR 52 par28/0552OR 52BHA47 @ Limerick 10/06/2026 · Pos 14th of 14 · OR 47 · 7f Yie 130 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark10/06/2026 · OR 47 par6 @ Lingfield 13/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR 51 · 7f1y Std 128 · beat its mark13/08/2026 · OR 51 par13/086OR 51projClass-projected finish: 10th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-13Lingfield69th9th0
2026-06-10LimerickBHA4714th12th+1
2026-05-28FairyhouseBHA5212th11th+1
2026-05-19CorkBHA536th5th+1
2026-05-04CurraghBHA5514th13th+1
2026-04-24CorkBHA568th8th+0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/0224/0428/0513/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 1-8 · tight 50/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▼
Strength69%

Delivery trend -4.9% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 8th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/02/20261st11/142%100%+0.58
20/03/202610th16/116%0%-0.16
10/04/20265th5/287%50%-0.37
24/04/20268th14/126%59%+0.32
04/05/202614th18/15%7%+0.02
19/05/20266th11/142%38%-0.05
28/05/202612th33/10%35%+0.35
10/06/202614th25/10%0%0.00
13/08/20269th7/282%27%-0.54