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6

The Organiser

7yo Gelding · 9-4 · Draw 3 · OR 55

Brighton · Matchbook Monthly Bet-Builder Rebate Handicap · 6f 210y

#4

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#4

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Showed a willing attitude when off the mark for this yard in a 6f handicap here in September 2025. Dropped in the weights, so really should be a factor but was brushed aside here in August. Given a short break.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength59%

What the class read says

Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 6 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 6.7)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Lingfield 20/11/2025 · Pos 14th of 14 · OR 65 · 7f1y Std 138 · below its mark20/11/2025 · OR 65 par20/116OR 654 @ Lingfield 08/12/2025 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 64 · 6f1y Std 119 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark08/12/2025 · OR 64 par6 @ Lingfield 07/01/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 63 · 6f1y Std 133 · below its mark07/01/2026 · OR 63 par7/016OR 636 @ Chelmsford City 26/03/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR 61 · 7f Std 131 · beat its mark26/03/2026 · OR 61 par6 @ Lingfield 19/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 59 · 7f Goo 131 · beat its mark19/05/2026 · OR 59 par19/056OR 596 @ Chepstow 15/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 59 · 7f16y Gd 134 · beat its mark15/06/2026 · OR 59 par6 @ Lingfield 13/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 58 · 7f2y Std 128 · beat its mark13/07/2026 · OR 58 par13/076OR 586 @ Brighton 05/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 57 · 6f210y Goo 136 · beat its mark05/08/2026 · OR 57 par6 @ Brighton 24/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 56 · 5f215y Goo 131 · below its mark24/08/2026 · OR 56 par24/086OR 56projClass-projected finish: 8th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-24Brighton65th5th0
2026-08-05Brighton63rd3rd0
2026-07-13Lingfield65th5th0
2026-06-15Chepstow64th4th0
2026-05-19Lingfield62nd2nd0
2026-03-26Chelmsford City67th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/1126/0313/0724/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 7-10 · tight 76/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -6.4% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/11/202514th20/10%0%0.00
08/12/20254th50/10%67%+0.67
07/01/20266th9/153%17%-0.36
26/03/20267th33/10%40%+0.40
19/05/20262nd14/126%89%+0.63
15/06/20264th8/158%50%-0.08
13/07/20265th11/142%56%+0.13
05/08/20263rd13/266%75%+0.09
24/08/20265th13/266%0%-0.66